Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.405506 0.462047 0.522408 0.591503 0.668267 0.750790 0.846069
2025-11-23 0.312887 0.389808 0.478125 0.586445 0.715092 0.862350 1.042977
2025-11-30 0.253977 0.343946 0.454417 0.598604 0.780236 0.999733 1.283142
2025-12-07 0.202272 0.297043 0.421142 0.592863 0.821223 1.111052 1.502732
2025-12-14 0.166553 0.264035 0.399576 0.597422 0.873644 1.239725 1.754487
2025-12-21 0.135060 0.230834 0.371987 0.588796 0.905622 1.342639 1.979790
2025-12-28 0.118011 0.215756 0.367440 0.610995 0.981107 1.509187 2.302765
2026-01-04 0.103636 0.202109 0.362576 0.631126 1.054189 1.676680 2.637989
2026-01-11 0.088743 0.184716 0.348925 0.635163 1.102143 1.809861 2.931510
2026-01-18 0.075949 0.168550 0.334690 0.635836 1.143691 1.934975 3.219670
2026-01-25 0.064900 0.153471 0.319948 0.633323 1.178796 2.051252 3.500133
2026-02-01 0.056093 0.141075 0.308097 0.633951 1.218209 2.175689 3.799226
2026-02-08 0.048566 0.130033 0.297485 0.635983 1.260818 2.309283 4.123190
2026-02-15 0.041310 0.118055 0.283256 0.629471 1.287518 2.418033 4.413196
2026-02-22 0.036806 0.111530 0.279125 0.641667 1.348495 2.587738 4.812391
2026-03-01 0.031439 0.101653 0.266371 0.635124 1.373916 2.697474 5.116663
2026-03-08 0.027638 0.094943 0.259525 0.639675 1.420274 2.846055 5.494227
2026-03-15 0.023511 0.086296 0.246867 0.630353 1.438572 2.945113 5.790551
2026-03-22 0.021766 0.084130 0.249242 0.653768 1.523305 3.169121 6.316824
2026-03-29 0.020072 0.081714 0.250632 0.675021 1.605015 3.391629 6.850335
2026-04-05 0.017775 0.076779 0.244877 0.679251 1.651717 3.550823 7.276636
2026-04-12 0.015622 0.071718 0.237976 0.679934 1.690752 3.697154 7.685638
2026-04-19 0.013624 0.066602 0.230082 0.677254 1.722116 3.829964 8.075104